The JD (U) on Tuesday became the third major ally to cut relations with the BJP after 2019, after Shiv Sena and Akali Dal. In the 18 months following the BJP`s second consecutive election victory in the Lok Sabha, the party had lost two of its longest-serving allies – Shiv Sena and Akali Dal. When Rabri Devi succeeded Lalu Yadav as prime minister, Yadav, who was imprisoned, could still influence the government. During this period, strong men rose from both upper and backward castes. The Yadav-Rabri government was not supported by the advanced castes because of its political and socio-economic marginalization under the Yadav regime. A number of influential criminals, portrayed as leaders of their castes, entered politics in response to Yadav`s “backward caste policy.” [29] People like Vijay Kumar Shukla (Munna Shukla), Anand Mohan Singh, Rama Singh, and Prabhunath Singh supported the upper castes by beginning reprisals against the lower and middle castes. In Vaishali district, for example, Munna Shukla and her associates repeatedly clashed with Yadav`s minister, Brij Bihari Prasad, a bania, which led to the murder of Chhotan Shukla, Munna`s brother and collaborator, in whose retaliation Prasad was also killed. Anand Mohan also wreaked havoc among supporters of a Reserve and Mandal Commission report by founding his “Samajwadi Krantikari Sena,” which was an upper-caste lynching party until it was taken over by Yadav`s close confidant, Pappu Yadav. [30] Munna Shukla and Anand Mohan were convicted of the murder of Gopalganj district magistrate G. Krishnaiah, a Dalit. [31] A political storm appears to be brewing in Bihar, with Prime Minister Nitish Kumar convening a meeting of MPs and MPs from Janata Dal (U) on Tuesday to discuss the situation in his party and in the state following the resignation of former national president R.C.P. Singh from the party under very bitter conditions. The elections in Bihar do not give a clear answer.
The BJP won, but by a narrow margin. A regional opposition party, Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), scored slightly better than the BJP in terms of seats won (75 to 74) and a visibly better result in terms of percentage of the vote (23.11% to 19.46%), pushing Modi`s party to second place in the party rankings. The BJP retained power only because its coalition as a whole surpassed the alliance of opposition forces: the BJP`s main ally received more seats than the RJD`s allies. But comparing the results of the two coalitions also indicates an unconvincing victory: the BJP alliance received 125 seats (only two seats above the majority limit of 123), while the opposition coalition received 110 seats. The difference between the voting shares of the two coalitions is tiny: 37.26% for the BJP alliance, 37.21% for the opposition coalition. In the last elections, mahagathbandhan was formed and initially consisted of the Rashtriya Janata Dal, the Janata Dal (Uni) and the Indian National Congress. [17] He was able to form a government after the elections, but the government fell when the Janata Dal (United) switched sides and joined the National Democratic Alliance. [19] In opposition, the alliance was joined by smaller parties such as the Rashtriya Lok Samta party, the Hindustan Awami Morcha and the Vikassheel Insaan party. [51] [21] [52] However, all three parties withdrew from the alliance between August and October 2020. [53] [54] [55] In September 2020, the Samajwadi party, which had run unsuccessfully in the previous elections in Bihar, declared that it would not run this time and would instead support Rashtriya Janata Dal.
[56] The RJD emerged as the largest single party in the 2020 parliamentary elections. In the last elections, the alliance was led by the Bharatiya Janata Party with three smaller allies, namely the Lok Janshakti Party, the Rashtriya Lok Samta Party and the Hindustani Awam Morcha, while the Janata Dal (United) ran as part of the current Mahagathbandan opposition. [17] [18] In 2017, the Janata Dal (Uni) changed its alliance, leading to the overthrow of the Mahagathbandan government and the coming to power of the National Democratic Alliance. [19] In 2018, two of the partners, the Rashtriya Lok Samata party and the Hindustani Awam Morcha, left the alliance. [20] [21] RCP Singh was in Modi`s cabinet and was abandoned after the JD(U) decided not to rename him to the Rajya Sabha, making his retention in the Union Council of Ministers untenable. Singh said after his resignation that he could join the BJP. After Amit Shah`s visit to Odisha, the BJD sees the developments in Bihar as a boon for the party In addition to the ongoing class struggle, which has become a kadella war, police excesses were also prevalent during this period and police atrocities against civilians were recorded. There are incidents in which the police have abused civilians, especially lower castes. There are also incidents [spelling?] in which police personnel, due to caste membership and similar factors, attacked villages inhabited by the lower castes after the private armies of upper-caste landowners perpetrated the massacres in the 1970s. [18] In the State Assembly, which has an effective force of 242 and requires 121 deputies for a majority, the RJD has the largest number of 79 deputies, followed by the BJP (77) and the JD (U) with 44.
Therefore, given the party`s recent track record in regional polls, the Bihar result could be a red flag for BJP strategists. In 2018, it lost elections in the larger states of Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan (the last two by a narrow margin) and was ultimately unable to form a government in Karnataka, although it became the largest party there.